|
|
ATTORNEY [ licensed to practice in KOREA, U.S.A., ILLINOIS ] LEE, JAE WOOK
∗ [LANGUAGE Translation] You can use Google Translate application to see in your own language the pages in this website. For your convenience, click the "Google Translate(Select Language)" |
FEE Ұ |
| |
λ |
| |
TAX |
| |
뵿 |
| |
|
| |
Ư PAT ǥ |
| |
Ѽ |
| |
ART |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
USA ̹ VISA |
| |
ȥ |
| |
Foreign Clients |
| | | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Start →ѱñ ȿ 2003. 9 DZб ȸп < > ѱñ ȿ () I. 1 II. ѱñ ʿ伺 5 1. Ҿ Ȯ 5 2. ε Ȯ 8 3. ñ ̹ߴ ְź 20 . ְź ʿ伺 20 . ñ ̹ߴ 24 4. εڱ äǽ ұ 30 III. 츮 MBS Ȳ 33 1. Թ 33 2. Ȳ 35 3. ѱñ ֿ 39 4. ñ ⺻ 41 . ñ ⺻ 41 . ŷ ȭ߰ ʿ伺 43 . ⡤ݸ Ȱȭ 45 . ȭ߰ ԡ ſ ɷ Ȯ 45 . ȭ߰ ݸü 47 IV. ѱñ ȿ 50 1. Ҿ ؼ 50 . ܱ ô ũ л 50 . ȭ 51 2. 57 . ݸ 57 . εڱ ȭ 59 . ε忡 á Ȯ 59 3. Ȱȭ 60 . äǽ 60 . ο ڻ 62 4. ñ ȭ ְź 64 . ꡤ ȸ Ȯ 64 . ñ ȭ 73 . ĺо 74 V. 76 <÷ 1> ѱñ ð ȭ 79 <÷ 2> MBS ڼ 82 1. 82 2. 82 3. м û 88 <÷ 3> MBS 91 1. ̱ ñü 91 . 1 91 . 2 97 2. ñü 108 . 1 109 . 2 112 3. Ϻ ñü 115 . 1 115 . 2 125 4. ܱ û 130 . ſ뺸ϱ ߿伺 131 . ŷ ȭ߰ ʿ伺 132 135 < ǥ > <ǥ 2-1> ݸ, ȭ(MCT), ְ 10 <ǥ 2-2> (Ź) 12 <ǥ 2-3> ű 뵵(ǥ ) 12 <ǥ 2-4> 10% Ұ Žð ġ 16 <ǥ 2-5> ǥ 溸ȣ 18 <ǥ 2-6> ֿ䱹 ú ü 21 <ǥ 2-7> ڰ øù 22 <ǥ 2-8> øŸŰ 22 <ǥ 2-9> ҵ ðݺ(PIR) 23 <ǥ 2-10> ̱ Ϻ GDP ôܾ 24 <ǥ 2-11> LTV 25 <ǥ 2-12> ֿ䱹 ô LTV , 1999 25 <ǥ 2-13> KoMoCo MBS ⺰ 27 <ǥ 2-14> ̱ MBS ⺰ ܾ 27 <ǥ 2-15> ̱ ä ȭ 28 <ǥ 2-16> ôǰ 29 <ǥ 3-1> KoMoCo MBS ڻ ֿ Ư¡ 37 <ǥ 3-2> MBS 38 <ǥ 3-3> MBS Ư¡ 38 <ǥ 3-4> ȭ 46 <ǥ 4-1> 캰 ڻ ι ͡ 56 <ǥ 4-2> ̱ äǺ 61 <ǥ 4-3> Ʈ /ŸŰ (03.6 ) 64 <ǥ 4-4> Ϲݰ º ְ 65 <ǥ 4-5> ҵ ݸȿ 68 <ǥ 4-6> ̱ ڰ ȭ 71 <ǥ 4-7> ѱñ ñ ȭ ȿ() 73 <ǥ 4-8> μ Ȱ뵵 ν 74 < > < 2-1> ð ȭ (1990=100) 11 < 2-2> ð (1990=100) 11 < 2-3> ڻ갡(1995=100) 12 < 2-4> ŸŰ Ÿ 14 < 2-5> ä Ȯ (2б ̳) 15 < 2-6> ú ڰ 1) 21 < 2-7> äǹ() 32 < 3-1> 츮 ñü 35 < 3-2> ѱñ縦 ȭ 40 < 4-1> OECD ROA ͱ1) 55 < 4-2> ̱ ('02) 57 < 4-3> ä ͷ ܱ ȭ 70 < 4-4> ̱ ڰ ȭ 71 <- 1.1> ý ī 81 < 4.1> ̱ ñü 91 < 4.2> FNMA FHLMC MBS 帧 105 < 4.3> ñü 109 < 4.4> ä ȭ 114 < 4.5> Ϻ ñü 116 < 4.6> 128 < 4.7> äǽŹ 129 I. δ δ Ű ȭ ñý ѱñ() ϰ . 2004 1 1 ϰ ִ ѱñ ܱ Ȱ ܱ ڱݴ ȯν Ѵٴ ȿ ܿ ڻ 輺 ν Ǵ ý Ҿȿ ϴ ȭ ñ ְź ϴ ȿ ϰ . ̿ ȿ ʿ ұϰ MBS KoMoCo ۵ϰ ִ Ȳ ʿ伺 . ô㺸ڻ ȭ ABS, MBS KoMoCo õǾ ̺ ñ Ǿ ־ ̿ ʿ . ̴ ⺻ ѱñ簡 ̿ ȿ ذ ̿ 濡 ѱñ ʿ伺 Ǵ ȿ ü 캸 . ƿ ñ ѱñ 忡 ִ 캸 . Ǿ . 1 忡 ʿ伺 ϴ . 2 ѱñ ʿ伺 δ ֱ ϸ鼭 ñ Ȯʿ Ȯ ñ ȭ ְź ѱñ縦 ϰ ȹϿ. ȯ 忡 ڻȭ, MBS õǰ KoMoCo äȭ ۵Ǿ ݱ üδ ñü ϱ 忡 ȯ ȭ ε ȭ ̸ ϴ 츮 ñ Ȳ 캸 ̿ ν ѱñ縦 ߽ ñ Ȱȭ ʿ伺 . 3 츮 MBS Ȳ 忡 츮 MBS Թ 캸 츮 MBS Ȳ ν ѱñ . ƿ ѱñ ֿ䳻 캽ν Ը θ . ñ ⺻ 4 ѱñ ȿ 忡 ѱñ縦 ν Ǵ ȿ оߺ ü м. ȿ 캸 BIS ȿ ͼ ȿ 跮 Ͽ м. ƿ ñ Կ ſ ߴ ȭ κ м. ̿ Բ ñ ߴ ִ Žð ȭ . ð ִ å ʿ ̿ ȿ 캽. ε 輺 ð ȭ ġ м. ̿ Բ ý忡 ġ ν Ը ´ ְź ȿ Ը ñ Կ ñ ȭ ̿ ꡤ ȸ Ȯ ȿ ñ ߴ 츮 ̾ ʿ ȭ ȿ м ݸ ô ݸ 5 忡 ǵ ѱñ ʿ伺 ߿ κ ϰ ȿ ִ Ͽ ݵ ʿ å ν . II.ѱñ ʿ伺 1. Ҿ Ȯ 2000 2002 2Ⱓ ȭ ̸ 캸 ι (2000⸻ 91 2002⸻ 191, 109.9% ) ü ӵ ֵϰ ִ Ÿ . 2002⸻ ܾ 191(53.5%) ܾ 162(45.4%) ߿ϱ Ͽ. Ⱓ 62.2% ô ϰ ־ ӵ ֵϴ . ô㺸 3 ܱ Ͻûȯ ô 77% ϴ Ÿ ־ ⺯ ô νȭ νȭ . ô㺸 2003 24, 2004 30 Ⱑ ʿ ġ ʿ Ǵܵ. ѱ ܱ ε 㺸 輺 ⱸ Ѱ ڻ갡ġȭ ɷ ѵ . ѱ ڵ ܱ ô㺸 ϰ . ù°, ̿ ѱ ̱ Ȳ û ״ ܱϽûȯ * 1930뿡 Ͽ ǰ(mortgage) "㺸ġ (LTV ratio: Loan-To-Value ratio)" 50% ̸, äڵ 5 Ⱓ ȿ ڸ ϰ Ͻûȯ ϴ * Ȳ 迡 ֵ ڿ ü һȯ ܱ Ͻûȯ ⺸ °, ܱ Ͻûȯ κ ξ LTV ۿ . °, ̷ ǰ鿡Դ Ϲ ϼ(uniformity) ῩǾ ֱ ȭ . ̱ 1930 Ȳ ñⰡ ġ ް ϶Ͽ ̷ ϶ ϴ ־ û ũ ۿ ̿ ÿ Ǿ 20% ʰϰ äڵ ɷ° ȯ ɷ ڸ Ǹ鼭 1930 ̱ 㺸 óн ϶ϰ Ҵɷ° ȯ ɷ ϵ äڵ鿡 ̱ ź ѱ 60% ̻ Һ ſ ְſ ε 㺸 ϴ 35 Һ (consumer loan) ̷ ֱ ̱ Ȳ ÿ 츮 ñ Ѱ ̱ 30 ٸ 迡 . Ȳ ȮǼ ӿ ݸ ڻ갡ݺҾ ɼ ݸ Ҿ ħü ȭå ȭ ɼ ݸ ÿ Ÿ . ̹ 忡 ݸλɼ 뿡 ݿǾ ںδ ȭǰ . * ݰ ڷῡ ſܾ 2002⸻ 439.1 ݸ¿ ݸ Ϲݴ ñ 341 . ݸ 1%Ʈ ü ںδ 34õ 3õ ݸ 1%Ʈ ϸ ںδ 30 þ . * Ư 2002⸻ ܾ 222 59% 131 ô㺸̾, 4/4б 10.5 90% 9.4 ô㺸̾. Ư ô㺸 κ CDͷ ݸ Ȳ̾ ݱݸ λ ںδ ̾ . ſмɷ ѵ ݸ Ǵ ȿ ұϰ νȭɼ ι üɼ ̴ ۿ . ̷ ӵ ε ڻ κγ Ҿ ɼ Ǹ ұ ڱݳ ϱ . * ֱ ̸鼭 ұ ũ . ñü ༺ . ä ȭ Ȱȭ ʾ ڱ õ Ȳ Ȯ ڱް ġ ȭ ̴ ۿ ڸ ߽ Ȯϴ Ȱ ñ ݵ ذǾ . 2. ε Ȯ ڻ Ư ε ǰ ִ Ȳ ñ ε 츮 ȭǴµ Ǵܵ. Ұ ϴ ñ о߿ ȯ ֱ ȸ ñ ߿ . , ñ Ȱȭ ڻ Ǵ Һ 츮 ȸ . ֱٱ ñ ȸ ̲µ ȿ Žå ȯμ νĵǾ δ پ ݿ سµ ߿ . ñ ε巯 Ư¡ ι ũ ñ ũ . ֱ 翡 츮 ü ̻ 750 5000 ̻ κ ñڱݵ εô ľǵ. 츮 ڻ ä 47.8% ̱(29.1 %), Ϻ(25%), (29.6%) ֿ ſ 2001 2б ä (12.2%) ڻ (10%) ڻŰ ä û ִ ɷ ϵ. äȯɷ ް ϴ ι νȭɼ ̰ ǹǷ ۽ 帧 ȭ ߱ . Ư äȯɷ ε 㺸ġ ȭ Ƿ ε ߴ Žñ ߿ 忡 ȭʿ 屳ε ũ . ι ڱݰ þ鼭 Ϻ ð ũ Ͽ νſҷڴ 2003 (5 315 Ѵ̿ 7, 2003 1 41 ) Ȳ ñ ܼ ñ Ѿ 帧 ߿伺 ΰǰ . ñ ð ƴ϶ ΰ . ε θ ̷ ä ַ ¿ ð ڱݼ Ǿ . ι Ȯ κ ε ڻ忡 ϰ ⼭ â (ݣ) ȿ(wealth effect) ſ Ҿ Һ ġ ϰ ִ м. ϳ ֺ Ǵ ñ Žñο ߿ ġ ϰ Ǿ ߿ ͱ ġ ϰ . κ ֿ ε ַ . Žðε ڻ忡 Ŀ Žñ ý Ҿ ߿ ΰǰ . ڷ : , ڷ, 2003 ڷ : , ڷ, 2003 ڷ : û, Japan Real Estate Institute, Nationwide Building Society, Bloomberg, The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) : ΰκ ڻ , øŸ, , KOSPI ̿Ͽ ġ OLS ̿. ġ Ŀ Ͽ ڻ갡 . AP(T) = , ⼭ ڻ, i=øŸ, , KOSPI, ġ. ǥⰣ 1986⡭ 2001̸, б⺰ ڷḦ ڷ : , ڷ, 2003 ڷ : ѱ ڷ : ְ, " ñ ", õá, 2002. ȣ p.11. ο 츮 ñȯ ʱܰ踦 ϰ ִ м . ù°, ü 忩 ȭ ˹ߵ ȭ⺸ٴ ġ ȸϴ ȯ ȯ ȭ . °, ñ ַܱ ǰ . δ Ϲڱ κ ð ŭ ֱ ð ߴ ǹ̿ ô㺸 մ. ε ε 㺸ġ ȭ ι ɿ ְ Ǿ ʿ Ȯ . ̷ ñ ʱܰ迡 Ǵ ۿ ǰ ־ ñ ɿ ̰ м ʿ ο ̷ Ҿȿ ڱ帧 ް ȭ ڻ갡 Ҿ ۿϸ鼭 ݿ ֱ . ñ ܼ ⺸ٴ 츮 ȸ ִ ߿̶ ü ָ ް . мغ ȯ Ͽ ȯ⸦ ʷϴ Ȯ ϳ ε ſ â̾. ι ȯ溯ȭ ó ŭ ȿ ۵Ǵ° δ ᱹ ȭ Ȯ ſɷ ü к ְ Ȱϴ° . 2002 ħü ӿ 츮 ȸ ̲µ ߴ ñ ε ָ ޱ . ߿ Ǯ Ϲ ε Ư ð 信 ߵʿ ʷ ֱ ñ ġ ӵ Ȯ Ѵٰ м ݸ Ǹ鼭 ι ȿ Ѿ ĥ ִ ε ָޱ : øŸŰ ڻ갡 ʿ GDP, ȸäͷ, Pҵ, GDP ſ ߾ Ը. ڷ : ڷ ä Ը Ȯ ȯɷ Ͽ ̾ ſ帧 ް డɼ . νȭ , ڻ κ Ҿȿ ä Һ ȿ ϵ ں ߴ ϰ ϰ Ȳ ܺݿ ΰ(excess volatility) äԸ þ Ϲ . ް ſ帧 ȭ ϰ ǹ Ϸ 迡 ڼ 䱸Ǵ Ȳ. ε 㺸δ Ǵ 帧 ߿ : 1) , , ܰ 2) Ordered Probit ̿ Ȯ ڷ : ڷ ڷ : ڷ 츮 ϴ ι äȯδ û 츮 Ϻ ħü ϱ . Һ þ äԸ ġ Ŀ ̷ κ ϴ ε ϶ 㺸ġ϶ ſްθ Ű ä÷̼(debt deflation) Ȳ ʷ Ȳ ü Ļ ȸ Ȯ . ᱹ ι äȯɷ Ѿ ä ڻ갡 ȭ äȲ(debt overhang) DZ . ñ Žñ ߿ Ͽ ľ ֱ Һ帧 ް ȭų ִ ̻¡ , ä ä ü ι ɷ, ȿ ̳ ̷ Ǵܵ. Һ ϰ ް Ϸ ź ϰ ް ſ帧 ȭ ʷ ʵ ʿ . űݸ ϴ ݸ ̾ 츮 ä Ư ܱä ȯδ ߵ ־ Ļ ɼ ִ Ǵ ó ſ ȭǸ鼭 ȸ صǰ ä ȯδ ڻ갡 ϶ Һ ħü ȭ Ǽȯ ۵ϴ ̸, ĩ debt-deflation ɼ . ģ ä ħü ۿ ۽ ſ ٸ ʸ . , äӵ ҵӵ Ⱓ ȸ ä ڻ갡϶ νȭ ɼ . : 1) κ (), £ κ , κ ǹ. 2) ݸ ȸä ͷ · . 3) BKP(Borio-Kennedy-Prowse)ǥ ε갡ݰμ ΰκ ڻ øŸ, , KOSPI ̿Ͽ ڻ嵿 ȭ ̰, FCI(Financial Conditions Index) ȸäͷ, , KOSPI, ·, ȿȯ ۼƮ ̿Ͽ , ε, ֽĽ ڻ ȭ . ڷ : , ڷ, 2003 Ư ȭ ŭ ɰϴٴ ŷδ ù°, ֱ ſҷǼ ü Ҿ ε Ҿȿ κ DZ . ε ڻ Ҿ ᱹ ڱ ߰ Ưι ߵDZ ߴٴ ǹ ڱ߰ ްϰ Ưι ߵǴ 鿡 ٶ Ưι ڱ ͼ ִ DZ . °, ̿ ݸ̳ ſ ι ɼ ݸ äȯɷ ʰ . Һٴ ȭ ްϰ Ȯ ſ Ȱϴ ϰ Ǹ ̿ ι ε . ä ҵ ¹ Ÿ äȯɷ¿ ŷڵ ڻ Ű ä ȯ ִ (ڻ/ä) ũ Ȳ( 5.5, ̱ 3.43, Ϻ 3.99, ѱ 2.09) ε ä þ ϱ ƴٴ . ſ ε㺸 ġ Һ 볻 ȭ ä ݽý ߾ ũ δ ε ڻ 忡 ġ ν ý ִ . ̸ ؼ δ ε ڻ ִ ŷ ִ (, ȯι Ϳ ) Ͽ ̸, ƿ ε ݺ ν ý Ȯ ִ å ߿ . 3. ñ ̹ߴ ְź . ְź ʿ伺 츮 å ݱ ú ߽ Ȯ뿡 ְź ִ ü(2001 58.9%, û, ȸ) ڰ(2000 54.2%) . δ ذϱ Ͽ å Ͽ 츮 ú 2002 100% ʰϰ . * ̴ 80 Ĺ ' 200ȣ Ǽ' ðǼ Ȯ å ؿ ȯ Ͽ 2000 ķκ ٽ ϴ * ƿ 90 ̺ а Ϸ Ϻ ۿ ú ü ؿ ϰ (ֱ 110% ̻ ϰ ) ū ( 82.4%, 91.6% Ұ) * ú : 96.2%(00) 98.3%(01) 100.6%(02) ڰ 2000 54.2% ؿ ӹ ־ 68%, ̱ 65% Ư 츮 ڰֿ 屸 ٸ ũ ̰ ڰ ڰ ְź ߿伺 ū Ǵܵ. Ӵ ִ ߴ ʾ ̻ ڰ ƴ ְȯ Ҿ ڷ : , ð, 2003, p.932. ) , "ô ȭ Ȳ " õá74ȣ ȣ, 2002, p.52. ο ε 1997 2001 , θ ñ ٰ ڿ ñ Ͽ ñ ִ ڷ : 'øù', û ڷ (1997, 2001 ڷ) ð ֱ 1997 2002 øŸŰ ܵ ϶, Ʈ ũ ϰ ִ Ÿ . ڷῡ ε ȣϴ Ʈ 2002 6 40.2%( 63.3%) (2000 12 )Ͽ Ư · 43.7% . ڷ : ðݵ硹, , ȣ ꡤ ְź Ҵɷ ǥ ϳ ҵ (PIR, Price/Income Ratio) 1990 9.0迡 1999 4.2 , ֱ 2002 5.5 Ȳ ڷ : ñ 硹, , ȣ ñ ñ ؼ ݵ ʿϰ ä Ȳ ̷ Ⱓ ʿں ϰ ðݻ· ں ʰϴ ð ⸶ÿ å ñ Ȳ ƿ Բ ĺо Ȱ ý ȭ ʿ䰡 . ĺо о ǰ ִ Һںȣ ϰ ϰ . * ĺо ǼϷ ν ǰ ذ ϴ ⼼ ν ð ȭ ִ . ĺо ؼ ߱ Ȱȭϴ ÿ ڱ ȸ ִ ý ȭ ñ Ȯ밡 ʿ. ѱñ δ ȭν ҵ . ô ڱ ϰ ν ڰ Ȯ . ñ Ȯ ĺо ȯ . ѱñ ä ð ȭ ȿ . . ñ ̹ߴ 1) ñ Ϲ 2002⸻ ñ ѱԸ 205 ϴ GDP (596.3) 34.4% ϸ ñԸ ýſ뺸ݿ ǹ δϴ ڱݴ 67.7 Ÿ ô㺸 135 MBS ܾ 2.5 Ͽ 205 . GDP ô Ը 50% ̻(̱, , ) LTV(loan to value) "ñ" 1997 29.4% 2001 40.7% ϰ ϸ ̸ ⸸ ô 77% 3 ǰ ־ ؿ ũ ġ ִ (LTV) 7080% ϰ ְ LTV 80100% ̰ Ⱓ 20 ̻ ̸ ſ һȯϴ κ : 1) ڰ ڷ : ñ 硹, , ȣ ñ ߴ ϴ ô ϳ ȭ ñڱ ũ ġ . MBS ñ KoMoCo ΰι ȭѾ 2.5 ģ ϸ 1.2% Ұ ̱ ű ô 55% ȭ ν ں ڱ ñ Ȱϰ , MBS äǽ忡 ū * 2003 6 ̱ äǽ MBS 23.6%, ȸä 20.2%, ä 24.8%, ܱä 12.1% 2) MBS ) MBS ̼ ݱ MBSԸ KoMoCo 93.2% ϰ . ̴ MBS ʰ Ǵ ä ñ ä ǥȭ ϸ KoMoCo ֿ ۿϰ ֱ Ǵܵ. KoMoCo ߽ MBS äǽ ϰ MBS Ⱑ Ȳ Ⱑ 5 MBS ü MBS 55.7% ϰ 510 ̰ MBS 37.7% ݸ ̱ 15, 30 MBS ϰ . * GNMA, FNMA, FHLMC 15 MBS ܾ 1999 13,330, 30⸸ MBS ܾ 3,330 . ѱñ پ (6~20) MBS ȹϰ . ڷ : KoMoCo Ȩ () MBS Ȳ ڷ ڷ : Lakhbir Hayre, "Salomon Smith Barney Guide to Mortgage-Backed and Asset-Backed Securities", John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2001, p.20. ) ڱݴ ȭ KoMoCo ȭ ä ñݿ ÿ ä ̹Ƿ 츮 ü ڱ Ͽ ȭ ſ ̸鿡 ڱݴ κ μ ܱڱ Ⱓġ ϴ dz ϹǷ ä ȭ . KoMoCo ںԸ Ը ü忡 KoMoCo ȭ Ȯ Ѱ谡 . ̱ űԴ MBS (ȭ) 2002 55% ϰ . ֱ ⼺ ôǰ , Ǹϰ Ƿ ä ȭ ɼ dz ݱ Ȳ * ֱ ϰ ȿ ôǰ ϰ ̹ * ѱñ簡 Ŀ ä ܼ Űϴ ƴ϶ Ű ȭ ϴ MortgageMBS swap . : ô 1-4 ܵÿ ̸ MBS Agency. ڷ: Fannie Mae, "Selected Secondary Mortgage Market Trends", July 9, 2003; "Residential Mortgage Originations" , July 9, 2003; "Secondary Market Activity of 1-4 Family Mortgage Loans" , August 2001; "Originations of Residential Mortgage Loans by Property Type" , August 2001. KoMoCo ߽ äȭ ̿ ⺻ ϴ м. MBS ǰ ؼ Ը Ը , ŷ ۵ ʿ䰡 . ڷ : Ȩ ) ſ뺸ϱԸ Ѱ ä · ȭ Ǿ ڿ ŰDZ ؼ ſ뺸 ʿϰ . ̷ ſ뺸 ҽŴν ǿ Ŵ. 츮 ſ뺸 KoMoCo ü ļ MBS , Ÿ ȭȸ ļ MBS ſ ̷. KoMoCo ڱںԸ ɷ ںݱԸ 30 ( 3 3õ) ϳ ̹ 2002⸻ ܾ 2 862 Ͽ ɷ(63.22%) Ȳ ä KoMoCo ŰѴ ϴ ɷ ġ ʾ MBS ɼ پ . 4. εڱ äǽ ұ ֱ 忡 ܱ εڱ Ͽ Ҿ ̰ . Z ϸ 2002⸻ ܱ εڱ 688 1996 ̻ Ͽ. ܱ ڱ ãƼ , ε ڻ ÷ Ű ٴԿ ̻ ϰ . ̿ ý ܺݿ ǹ ħü ε ۿϰ ִ м. ܺ ݹ Ը ܱڱ ǰ ̵Ͽ Ҿ ߱. * SK۷ι ½ ű εڱ ȸä Ű ñ ڱݳ ȭ ε ݸ 츮 Ϻ ɼ . ڱ ؿܷ Ǿ ǰ Ҿȿ ȯ ݸ ó ӵʿ ڱ ܱεȭ ȭ ֱ ݸ ܱ ݸ Ǵ Ÿ . ֱ ϰ ִ äǼ ұ Ư 鿡 ϴµ ä 2001 4/4б . ä Ű ä űԹ 䰡 ũ . ä ä ߴ Ưä ൵ Ͽ ȸä ڱݼ ҷ . ̿ äǰ ä 鼭 ī ä ũ Ȯ. ̿ ä ݾ ä, īä(ī ȭABS ) ä 2002 88% ܱȭǸ鼭 Ż Ź ä ǰ ִµ ڻԸ Ȯǰ ϸ鼭 ̵ ڱ ä äǺ Ը 97 16.7 2002 108.4 6 ̻ Ȯ. 츮 Ϻ ä κ ä Ⱑ 3 Ϸ ǰ ־ ä Ȳ * 2002 5 ʰ 5.0% Ұ. 츮 äǽ ̼(帧 ) 1.9 ̱ 3.95.4 ̱ ⱹä ̿ܿ ȸä ַ 7 ̻ ǰ . ڷ : Z, "ܱεڱ ǻ ذ" CEO Information(407ȣ), 2003. 7. 2 ô ̾ ν ܱ εȭ ؼ . ܱ Ͻûȯ ñ 㺸 һȯ · ȯν Ǵ ϱ ؼ ߴ ʿ. * Ư ݸ äǽ Ȱ ۵ ؼ ܱ ݸü踦 ü ʿ ä ȭ ȿ ۵ϴ 忡 췮 ä ν ְ . III. 츮 MBS Ȳ 1. Թ ȯ ް ҵ氨 ڻ÷̼ 1998 ð 15%, ðǼ 40% ̻ ϴ ̺о ް Ǿ , ҵ氨ҿ Һ ñŷ ް ̿ δ Ȱ ϸ鼭 ǹ ξ ڻȭ ϴ Ǽΰ ϴ äȭ Ͽ 1998⡸ڻȭѹ ä ȭϴ 1 ȭȹ ϰ üǾ ϴ ȭȸ ʿ伺 εʿ 1999 1 äȭȸ ǰ 9 ǰϿ ѱäȭֽȸ(KoMoCo) äȭȸ ڱ ñ Ȯϱ Ͽ äȭȸ äǴ㺸ä Ͽ ʿ ν ΰ ϰ . äȭ ϰ ϴ ڴ ֽȸ , ں 250 ̻ , ڱں ɷ ϴ ̻ . äȭȸ ǰ ڻȭѹ Ͽ ȭȸ ä ȭڻ Ͽ ȭǿ Ͽ äȭȸ ڱں 20(2002 30 ) ʰ ʴ ֵ . äȭȸ Ͽ ȭ߰ ϵ ټ ȭ߰ ÿ ä ϰ ִ ڻȭѹ ǰϿ ȭȸ縦 Ͽ ä ȭ ֵ ̿ȭ κ ä 㺸 ȭ ϸ, ں ΰ . ñ ȭȸ縦 ϰų äȭȸ縦 Ͽ ȭ ä ν ο ̷ ä ȭ ñȮ븦 ñ ʱδ ȭϰ û ִٴ ȿ . ȭ ԵǾ ڱݱԸ ȮǸ Һ ʱ ñԺδ ȭǾ ü䰡 ǰ ̿ û Ȱȭ , 繫 ȭ . ä Ű ô㺸 谡ġ 50% 0%(, ä, ϴ ) Ƿ ڱں , ڻꡤä ȿȭ, ݸ ؼ ڻǰ پȭ ں ߴ ϰ å ȿ . ݸ Ű Ͽ ý ȣ ν ڵ û ݾ 2. Ȳ KoMoCo ں 1,001 Ͽ 2002 12 1,124.8 ʱ DZ(28.6%), (14.3%), (14.3%), Z(9.5%) ̾ 2000 11 (IFC) (9.5%), ġ(9.5%) ַ 2003 8 28,764 MBS( 27,766, ļ 900) Ǿ ȭ ڻ ñ ä 1 ä κ ϰ . KoMoCo ȭ Ʈ Ǿ پ ̷. MBS ؼ KoMoCo ϰ 'AAA'ſ . ƮijŻ 츮ijŻ ABS ȭȸ(SPC) Ͽ MBS Ͽ ȭŲ ʰ . ƮijŻ 2002 1,665 MBS( MBS 1,205, ļ MBS 460) 츮ijŻ 2000 410 MBS ( MBS 330, ļ MBS 80) MBS ſ뺸 ڻ꺸ڰ μϴ ļ ȸ翡 ū ̰ ϴµ ̴ MBS ȸ ŷ° ڻ ũ ǹ. ļ MBS KoMoCo 3.4%ε , ƮijŻ 28.5%, 츮ijŻ 19.5% ̸ ڷ : KoMoCo , ڷ 2003 4 3Ը MBS Ǿ Ը ù 2000 1 2,700 Ұ ϰ ִ . ū Ը ȭȸ KoMoCo Ը ̸ Ͽ Ը . : ȭMBS ڷ : KoMoCo ݸ ƮijŻ̳ 츮ijŻ ̸ Ư ļä ݸ ſ Ȳ ̴ Ǵ MBS ſ뿡 KoMoCo MBS α(Ǽ) ַ ϴ ذ KoMoCo ϰ ǹǷ ΰȭȸ簡 MBS ϰ ΰ() ſ ϴ º ٴ ν . ڷ : , "츮 ñý ȭ ", ñ 224ȣ, 2001, p. 65. <ǥ3-2> . 3. ѱñ ֿ 2002⸻ 츮 ñԸ 205 ̸ κ(77%) 3 Ͻûȯ μ ֿ (20~30) ⱸ ܱ ߵǾ . ̷ ܱ ôⱸ 3⸶ ȯϰ Ǿ ֱ δ ũ ð ϰ . 20 ̻ ڱ ϰ Ⱓ δ ȯϱ ñ ʿ伺 Ǿ . ֱ ݸ 5% Ϸ ڱݿµ dzϿ ɷ ϹǷ ô Ȱȭ ʿ õǾٴ ν Ϲ. ̿ δ ŷ ڱ Ͽ ڱ ִ ѱñ 2003 7 ѱñ ԹϿ. ѱñ ýſ뺸 ٰŹ ٷְžѹ(ְž) äȭȸ ٰ Ͽ ѱñ簡 ä ȭ ƴ϶ ڱݴ ȭ, ô ſ뺸 ñ ϵ ýſ뺸ݰ KoMoCo ϰ Ͽ ѱñ縦 ȹ 1 忡 ⺸ ýź 2 忡 ȭ KoMoCo η ȰϿ óȿ â ȣ ⺸ MBS , ν ñå ȿ MBS ñ ȰȭDZ ؼ ѱñ ŷ ̴ ̹Ƿ ŷ (ѱ ) ϰ սǺٰ ѱñ ýſ뺸 ġϿ ѱñ簡 ϵ ѱñ ȸ踦 Ͽ 踮. MBSѵ 30迡 50 ϰ ȭ Ȯ ȹ κ ñԿ뵵 ô㺸 Ϲݰڱݴ óϰ ־ MBSȰȭ ۿ ѱñ簡 MBS ֵ ä Ͽ Ⱓ ֵ ϰ(buy and hold), Ͽ ôڱ (ſ) ִ ٰŸ ȹ ݳ Թ غ Ͽ 2004 1 ѱñ缳 ǥ 4. ñ ⺻ . ñ ⺻ 迡 ñ ȰȭDZ ؼ 1 2 Ǵ ʿ 1 忡 ñ dz ôڱ ɷ ؾ ƴ϶ ä ȭ ؼ ä (帧 ) Ǿ ϹǷ ڱ ȯɷ¿ ſ ʼ̸ ̿ ſ뺸 ʿ. ̱ ſ ϸ ſ ڱ äȯɷ ٰ , ϰ . FHA VA ȯ Ǵ ν ä Ȱ ȭ ϰ . 2 忡 ȭ߰ ʿϸ ȭ߰ ϴ MBS ְ ϰų ŷ ִ ʿ. ȭ߰ Ưȸ縦 Ͽ ä ȭ ۿ Ƿ ϴ äǿ pool Ը ƴ϶ ǥȭ Ը ñ äȭ ɸ ۿ . Ǵ MBS ȭ ʼ . ڴ ڴ ڻ꿡 ̸ ͷ 䱸ϰ Ǿ ñ MBS ݸ ̰ ǹǷ Ȱ äȭ . ȭ߰ ŷ , ñ Ͽ츦 Ǿ . ȭ߰ ԡŰ ɻ ƴ϶ ԡ ɵ ŭ Ը ڱݴɷ ߾ . ԡ ñ Ͽ å ȿ ų ִ ߿ . , ڱ 1 Ȳ ϰ ν ΰ ϴ پ . ñ ڱ ڿ (1 ), ȭ ڿ (2 ) Ǵµ ڵ پ 迡 Ǹ 忡 ϴ ٸ 忡 ̵ǹǷ ȿ ۵ ư . ڱ ä ݻȯ 帧 Ȯϰ ä Ű Ǵ ä ʷ ϴ MBS Ű ư ν ñ ڱ ߱ . 忡 MBS ̴ ũǷ MBS ڸ ϰ . ̴ MBS ݻ ƴ϶ MBS ſ뵵 ʼ ǹ. ñ Ȱϰ ۵ϱ ؼ 1 ƴ϶ 2 ſ뺸ġ ʿϰ . ̱ 1 忡 FHA VA α ݻȯ ſ뺸 ν ̷ 2 忡 GNMA ڱ ϴ MBS ڿ ǰų Ǵ FNMA FHLMC ü Ͽ ̵ ǰ ִ . MBS ΰȸ պ ſ뺸 ̷ ̿ ſ뺸Ϻ MBSݸ ۿ . MBSݸ 19871988 (LIBOR) 0.3% ̾ 1990 0.75%~0.8% Ͽ 뷮 ڱ Ͽ. . ŷ ȭ߰ ʿ伺 ä ȭ Űϴ ȭ߰ Ͽ ̿ Ͽ , Űϴ . 2 ȰȭDZ ؼ ŷ ִ ȭ߰ ʿ. ä ȭ ڱ ڱ ں忡 ϱ ȯ ؾ . ȭ߰ ʴ ſ뺸 äǿ ԵǾ ִ ڿ ɼ ȭ . ݸ ȭ߰ ϴ ڱ ȭ߰ ڿ л ȭ߰ äǿ ԡ ֱ ڱ ༺ ũ . ȭ߰ Ǵ MBS Ͽ ڷκ ŷڸ . , ȭ߰ ŷ ᱹ 2 Ȱȭ θ ϴ ߿ . MBS ̾ ҽ ݸ ڱ ߴ ȿ ڱ ñ ־ ڱݼ並 â . ȭ߰ Ѵٸ ȭ߰ ŷ ʼ ۿ . ̱ ȭ߰ FNMA FHLMC ü ϰ . * FNMA οȭǾ α̾ FHLMC ̹Ƿ ŷ ſ . Ϻ 迡 ֵ ڱ MBS Ưȸ縦 Ͽ MBS ų ε MBS ȭ ʰų () Ǵ Źڻ꿡 ε 쿡 ȭ ־ ϰ . Ź̳ Ưȸ縦 ̿Ͽ ȭ Ű 迡 ڱݴ忡 ϰ ݸ Ϲ ⼭ ϸ ʷ . , ̷ ̿ϸ ε ڱ ϰ ä ȭų ε ڱ ȭ ں忡 Ȱ ڱ . Ҽ ڱ ϴ ̸ . . ⡤ݸ Ȱȭ 1 忡 ⡤ݸ һȯ ȰȭǾ . ܱ Ͻûȯ ô㺸 Ͻûȯ 䱸ϹǷ ſ鿡 ȯδ ϰų ȯҴ ʷ . ü ϸ ݸ ݸ Ǿ ְ ݸ Ƿ ݸ ں뿡 δ þ . ̷ ⡤ݸһȯ ذ . ⡤ݸһȯ ⡤ݸ ݵǴ лϱ ä ȭ ų . 2002⸻ FNMA ϰ ִ ä 75% ݸ̰ 19% ߱ ݸ̸ ݸ 6% Ұ. . ȭ߰ ԡ ſ ɷ Ȯ ̿ پ ñ忡 ϰ ϱ ؼ ȭ߰ ԡŰ ԡ ſ پȭϴ ɷ Ȯ ʿ䰡 . ( Һα) ô ڱ ȸϱ ؼ äǿ ȭ ̳ ôԸ ũ ̸ ȭ ϴµ ݵǴ ̷ ̵濡 . ԡ Ͽ Ը ä Ȯϰ ν Ը Ͽ ȭ ʿ䰡 . ȸ ſ ڱɷ ȭ߰ ſ Ȱ ڱ ϰ . پȭ ȭ߰ ԡ ΰ ñ å Կ ־ ſ ߿ å Ȱ . ڷ : û,ȭ߰ ä ȭ ȡ, p.47, 1998. ο . ȭ߰ ݸü ä ȭ Ϲ ݸ, ſ, 迡 Ǿ . ѱñ ߴǾ Ư ݸ迡 å ö ʿ ݸ FNMA ̱ ȭ ġŷν . ̱ FNMA 쵵 ȭ ä 90% ̻ ߡ ݸ ȯ ݸ迡 ϰ . ݸ ڴ ݸ ȯ ִ ɼ ̳ ȭ äǺ ̸ ִ Ͽ ݸ迡 ϰ Ǿ . * ݸ ڴ ݸ ϶ϴ ȯ ϰ ٽ Ŵν ݸ ̿ Ȳ ް ȯ ͷ Ҹ ϰ . ̿ FNMA Ʈ ȸ(The Portfolio Committee) Ͽ ݸȲ ϸ ڻä հȸ(Asset and Liability Management Committee) Ͽ å ϵ ϰ . ⺻ ݸ ڱޱ پȭϿ ڱݿ뿡 帧 ȭ ﰢ ִ . , ڱޱ ϰ Ͽ ݸȯ濡 ֵ . ݸ ä Ⱑ ȭ ֱ FNMA ǻȯǺ ä(callable bond) پ Ļǰ ν ä ̼ 뺯 κ ֵ . * äǰ ǻȯǺ ä ̼ ݸ ϶ Բ ϰ, ° Բ ϰ . 2001 FNMA ä 1 ̳ ܱä 42.5%̸, ǻȯǺ ä ü äǹ 17.5% ϰ . FNMA ִ Ļǰ ϳ ⺻ ݸ ɼǺ Ļǰ(, swaptions) Ļǰ Ȱϰ . ѱñ絵 ݸ ڻ갡ġ ֵ پ ä Ļǰ ̿ ݸ . ȯ Ͽ ֱ ȯ MBS ڿ ȯ ֵ Pass-Through Ͽ ɼ ּȭ ȯ ҿ Ͽ ʵ MBS ౸ ԡ ô 쿡 ȯ Ͽ δ ԡ ô ɼǺ ä Ǵ ȯⰣ ݸŷ Ͽ ּȭϰ ԡ ǰ ܱ ȭ ̼ Ʈ ä ä IV. ѱñ ȿ 1. Ҿ ؼ . ܱ ô ũ л ֱ ô 2003 24, 2004 30 Ⱑ Ͽ 忡 Ҿȿҷ ۿ κ Һ ſ ְſ ε 㺸 ϴ Һ (consumer loan) ̷ ֱ ̱ Ȳ Ȳ ſ ǴܵǸ ÿ 츮 ñ Ѱ ̱ 30 ٸ 迡 Ǿִ Ȳ ȮǼ ӿ ݸ ڻ갡ݺҾȰ Ҿ ħü ȭå ȭ ɼ ÿ Ÿ ִ . Ư ô㺸 κ CDͷ ݸ Ȳ̾ ݱݸ λ * jae wook LEEԿ ؼ Խù ̵Ǿϴ (2017-05-07 16:58) ← End |
|
|
← Previous
[1][2][3][4] 5 [6]
Next →
|
[Category]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Copyright 1997-2024
TAX & LAW (ݰ )
site ϴ ƴϸ, ̰ "" Ƿ(¶ ƴ϶ å Ⱓ Ƿ) Ǹ մϴ. , Ƿʿ Ȥö ִٸ, װ ƴϸ, Ͽ ̰ų ̶ Ͻñ ٶϴ. ұϰ ̸ ̶ ϽŴٸ, ϴ Ʈ ƴ϶ Ͽ (å Ⱓ Ƿ) Ƿ Ͻʽÿ. 繫ǿ Ͻ κ ƴմϴ. |
FEE Ұ |
| |
λ |
| |
TAX |
| |
뵿 |
| |
|
| |
Ư PAT ǥ |
| |
Ѽ |
| |
ART |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
USA ̹ VISA |
| |
ȥ |
| |
Foreign Clients |
| | | |
|
|